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 SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds

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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:52 am



Roster Wars season is over. The NFL season is over. The Super Bowl has been played. The RW Dispersal Draft is complete. There's nothing left to talk about. There's nothing left to write about. What is there to do while we wait to Tag players? What is there to talk about before Roster Wars RFA bidding starts? There has to be something. How about some SMAK Talk?


In the words of Slim Shady, “Guess who's back? Back again? SMAK is back, tell a friend.” Last Summer, SMAK burst onto the Roster Wars scene with a twinkle in the eye, a bold dream, and a shiny Tandy PC. With an archahic prediction formula, SMAK shocked the world with its uncanny accuracy. Not being 100% accurate, SMAK started fine-tuning the PI flavored formula early this off-season. Players stats were crunched into a fine powder, snorted by Super Mario, and then spit out into a euphoria of futuristic knowledge that made Carnac The Magnificent cringe before opening his envelope of predictions. About 6 weeks ago, SMAK went on a sabatical and clear-cut 50 acres of Lake Tahoe's finest timber as their Super Computer & printer worked hand in hand printing out stat after stat of Roster War numbers. Once SMAK engulfed all the numbers, some of the results that came out were a bit surprising. The dilema is, that it's only February and last year SMAK predictions didn't start coming out until July. So should I sit on these potential world changing results for 5 more months? Or should they be used for some off-season enjoyment?

Now I decided to take a look at the NFL and figured that since the Super Bowl was just played a few days ago, football talk will settle down. Don't tell that to the Vegas sportsbooks. What have they already published and opened up the boards on? How about the odds for NFL teams winning the 2018 Super Bowl? How can that be? It's over 360 days away. Is Roster Wars going to take a back seat to the NFL? I didn't think so. Is SMAK going to take a back seat to the Vegas odds-makers? I didn't think so. For those of you that don't care about Roster Wars, go ahead and wander over to the Vegas sites and check out the Super Bowl odds for 2018. For the rest of you, SMAK has made a prediction for each Roster War franchise, and their odds of winning Roster Wars VI Granted, these odds are based on current team rosters. Sure players will soon be dropped, RFA bidding will bring a slew of new players to each team, but like Vegas, the odds will most definitely change as a team's makeup changes throughout the Summer. But for now, this is what the current Roster War teams look like and their odds of winning World War VI. Unlike Vegas, SMAK does not take the easy road and automatically throw the Gadabouts into World War VI like they throw the Patriots into the 2018 Super Bowl. SMAK isn't scared to stand by their PI-licious formula and trust the results. Spoiler Alert: No repeat Championshipship for the Gadabouts. Is that considered a Spoiler Alert, or SMAK's first prediction of 2017? Either way, enjoy this snapshot in time for February 2017 as SMAK is throwing down the odds for the RW teams to win World War VI. Wartime Press in February welcomes SMAK 2.0.




SMAK 2017 WORLD WAR VI ODDS
Hamilton Steel Cats5 TO 1
Titletown Tyrants6 TO 1
Philadelphia Pigskins8 TO 1
Littleton SilverBallers10 TO 1
Whiskey Creek Gadabouts10 TO 1
San Francisco Gold Diggers15 TO 1
Indiana Mayhem15 TO 1
Minnesota Eternals20 TO 1
England Dragons20 TO 1
Rocky Mountain Oysters25 TO 1
Naperville Divine25 TO 1
North Wales Knights25 TO 1
Nevada NightHawks30 TO 1
Maple Grove Mean Machine30 TO 1
Oaktown Malosos40 TO 1
Muskego Muskies40 TO 1
Charm City Justice50 TO 1
Norfolk Bombers60 TO 1
Tarpon Springs RedKnights75 TO 1
California Nightmare75 TO 1
Kane County Goon Squad75 TO 1
Bergen Brawlers100 TO 1
Atlanta Africans150 TO 1
Las Vegas Degenerates300 TO 1


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San Francisco Golddiggers
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:59 am

SMAK is projecting a repeat winner for PINK.


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Rocky Mountain Oysters
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:04 pm

Nice to see I have a better chance than Russ.


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:20 pm

The 3 Dispersal Draft teams calculated out higher than I would have expected.  But I keep expectations, feelings, and thoughts out of it, and leave it strictly to the numbers.  RFA will most likely shuffle things around greatly.  However, now is a good time to get down to Vegas and lay some money down on potentially favorable odds for some teams. grin


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Atlanta Africans
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:35 pm

150 to 1 pfffftt


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Titletown Tyrants
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:48 pm

I like it. Poor Rob.


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 12:54 pm

Atlanta Africans wrote:
150 to 1 pfffftt

Have you seen your current roster? shrug  Just be grateful the oddsmakers even had your team listed. laughing


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Maple Grove Mean Machine
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:00 pm

It's great to see I have a better chance than half of the teams. So far, so good!


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Titletown Tyrants
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:02 pm

Nevada NightHawks wrote:
Atlanta Africans wrote:
150 to 1 pfffftt

Have you seen your current roster? shrug  Just be grateful the oddsmakers even had your team listed. laughing

Them's fightin' words! slap


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Kane County Goon Squad
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:10 pm

very cool - hopefully I can move up a little after RFA and draft


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Whiskey Creek Gadabouts
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:16 pm

Biggest surprise to me is the bombers.. Just because Dave has a bum ankle doesn't mean his team is out too.

good work Bern.


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Rocky Mountain Oysters
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:22 pm

Kane County Goon Squad wrote:
very cool - hopefully I can move up a little after RFA and draft

Assuming you put all those WB's to good use.


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Charm City Justice
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 1:28 pm

Hmm, lower than I would like and the lowest of the dispersal draft teams. Maybe my draft did not have as much value in it as was originally thought.


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Littleton SilverBallers
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 2:06 pm

Nice work on this Bern!

I'm happy to see my team in the top! I hope you're right wink


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Kane County Goon Squad
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 2:08 pm

Rocky Mountain Oysters wrote:
Kane County Goon Squad wrote:
very cool - hopefully I can move up a little after RFA and draft

Assuming you put all those WB's to good use.
the more I look the less I'm excited about this...

between the years I will have available and the players available being the wrong position I'm like Neutral


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Minnesota Eternals
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 3:06 pm

Rob better not end up in PINK again. We need fresh pink blood! Laughing


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Muskego Muskies
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 3:48 pm

Ouch! Back to Back Chapter 3 titles and still no love from SMAK.


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Bergen Brawlers
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:23 pm



Pfft. Looks like a regurgitation of last year's results, but with a significant bump to Carla because you felt bad for calling her out last year. This ain't science.

Down with SMAK!


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Muskego Muskies
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 5:04 pm

Anybody ever play strat-o-matic baseball growing up? I feel like that's Berns SMAK. He's got these cards that's he's created for each team he puts them on the wheel and spins away. I'm cool with that though both SMAK and strat-o-matic are fun in their own way high five


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Indiana Mayhem
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 8:13 pm

Bergen Brawlers wrote:


Pfft.  Looks like a regurgitation of last year's results, but with a significant bump to Carla because you felt bad for calling her out last year.  This ain't science.  

Down with SMAK!


Whoa Wait.......I am starting to like SMAK!


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Indiana Mayhem
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 8:14 pm

Rocky Mountain Oysters wrote:
Nice to see I have a better chance than Russ.


I have a better chance than Russ TOO!


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England Dragons
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:50 pm

Great read, Bern, well done.

The Mayhem odds are very surprising. All you have to do to make me a SMAK believer is get that one right this year.

Also surprised to see Justice at longer odds than the other 2 dispersal teams when it was generally felt that Justice came out of that the best.

Still, I imagine there will be much movement in the odds post RFA and draft.

cheers


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Tue Feb 07, 2017 11:59 pm

Another Pfft?   A regurgitation of last year's results?  This ain't science?  Have you even looked over the post?  It's very different from last year.  The Hamilton Steel Cats were nowhere near the top spot of SMAK predictions last year.  The Degenerates were not at the bottom of SMAK predictions last year.  The 2016 World War V winner, the Whiskey Creek Gadabouts didn't even get the automatic #1 slot in the latest odds.  SMAK had them at 10 to 1 odds.   SMAK wasn't too far off from the Mayhem record last season and the only thing I feel sorry for was the fact that it cost me a few bucks with the Mayhem's final game of the season win.  



For the record, SMAK does not look at teams when making predictions.  It uses the numbers from the players and then projects them according to the PI formula.  Once the player stats are projected, those players are then placed into the appropriate team rosters.  Then, and only then, are the SMAK odds produced.  Granted, I fully understand the emotion of team owners when they see where their team is placed.  Even though SMAK has no understanding of emotion, it does understand that humans tend to react with emotion.  Seeing that the Bergen Brawlers are currently locked at 100 to 1 odds to winning World War VI, we are fully aware that name-calling SMAK as Snake Oil was to be expected.  It's also no surprise that the 2 Pffts that SMAK received came from 100 to 1 odds and 150 to 1 odds.



Also, remember these are current odds, based on current rosters.  I assume the odds will be changing and teams will be moving up and down the boards a lot.  For example, once the Dispersal Draft is done, there should be a monsterous trading frenzy in the Terrible Twelve..........  Excuse me for a sec......this just coming in......what?  The Dispersal Draft has been finished for several days?  The trading frenzy has only resulted in one WR being traded for a 6th Rd Draft Pick?  It's beginning to look like it's not a SMAK issue.  It beginning to look like teams are satisfied with where they are at and are secretly accepting the SMAK Odds fate.  



However I do believe SMAK could have secret powers.  Once teams realize the SMAK Odds are showing Doom & Gloom for their franchise and fans, they will soon start making moves to get their team moving up the ladder towards World War VI.  SMAK and God work hand in hand, and we can make things happen!



Finally, there is Dan's reference to baseball's Strat O Matic.  You might have some validity to that reference.  As described earlier, SMAK works directly off a player's stats.  They then insert those stats into SMAK's PI Formula, and come up with their 2017 projections.  Instead of the old fashioned Strat O Matic's version of a players card with their stats, those stats are placed into a computer spreadsheet.  From there, those player projections are then placed into the appropriate teams.  No dice necessary as the spreadsheet does all the work.  Baseball may be my background, but SMAK is the future!  And I've seen all of you, on more than one occasion, peaking over the fence to what the future has in store.



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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 12:14 am

England Dragons wrote:
Great read, Bern, well done.

The Mayhem odds are very surprising. All you have to do to make me a SMAK believer is get that one right this year.

Also surprised to see Justice at longer odds than the other 2 dispersal teams when it was generally felt that Justice came out of that the best.

Still, I imagine there will be much movement in the odds post RFA and draft.

cheers

I have been getting recent feedback(grief) on the Mayhem's rise to 15 to 1 odds. So much so, that I got a bit nervous and went into SMAK's formula to make sure it wasn't infected by a virus. And you know what? That Super Computer is clean as a whistle. For the record, SMAK is not predicting Back 2 Back World War Championships for the Mayhem. They have just predicted a rise from their below .500 2016 campaign, and now have them at 15 to 1 odds of winning World War VI. It doesn't take a Super Computer to see this. Take a look at the Mayhem's defensive roster. And I'm talking about their main starting defenders. The oldest player is Ndamukong Suh at 30yrs old. This defense is loaded with youth. When this youth start scoring points, the Mayhem rise will begin. Then all of you doubters will be in shock at the end of 2017, while SMAK is the one having the last laugh. As for the Mayhem's 2017 motto: #makeSMAKproud mario banana


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England Dragons
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 1:22 am

Nevada NightHawks wrote:
Also, remember these are current odds, based on current rosters.  I assume the odds will be changing and teams will be moving up and down the boards a lot.  For example, once the Dispersal Draft is done, there should be a monsterous trading frenzy in the Terrible Twelve..........  Excuse me for a sec......this just coming in......what?  The Dispersal Draft has been finished for several days?  The trading frenzy has only resulted in one WR being traded for a 6th Rd Draft Pick?  It's beginning to look like it's not a SMAK issue.  It beginning to look like teams are satisfied with where they are at and are secretly accepting the SMAK Odds fate.

ROFL

Well played, Sir!


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Indiana Mayhem
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:02 am

England Dragons wrote:
Great read, Bern, well done.

The Mayhem odds are very surprising. All you have to do to make me a SMAK believer is get that one right this year.

Also surprised to see Justice at longer odds than the other 2 dispersal teams when it was generally felt that Justice came out of that the best.

Still, I imagine there will be much movement in the odds post RFA and draft.

cheers

Geez


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Titletown Tyrants
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:52 am

I believe in SMAK. Last year I took my team over with 2 wins and SMAK predicted I would have 8. Ended with 9. SMAK had faith in me, and in return SMAK gets my trust.


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North Wales Knights
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 6:57 am

Interesting early predictions. It will be good to compare after RFA and see who SMAK thinks the big winners and losers of RFA are.


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Philadelphia Pigskins
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 7:01 am

Indiana Mayhem wrote:
Rocky Mountain Oysters wrote:
Nice to see I have a better chance than Russ.


I have a better chance than Russ TOO!

Is this our bar now?


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Indiana Mayhem
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 7:56 am

Gotta start somewhere


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Maple Grove Mean Machine
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 7:57 am

Muskego Muskies wrote:
Anybody ever play strat-o-matic baseball growing up? I feel like that's Berns SMAK. He's got these cards that's he's created for each team he puts them on the wheel and spins away. I'm cool with that though both SMAK and strat-o-matic are fun in their own way high five


I played APBA baseball growing up. Same sort of deal with the cards. APBA has a football version too. I think Bern has simulated the entire season already with the current rosters and that is how he comes up with SMAK!


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Bergen Brawlers
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 8:10 am

We still love you Bern -- just don't always agree with the projections. But haven't we gone down that road before?


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 2:48 pm

Titletown Tyrants wrote:
I believe in SMAK. Last year I took my team over with 2 wins and SMAK predicted I would have 8. Ended with 9. SMAK had faith in me, and in return SMAK gets my trust.

Seriously?  You took over a 2 win team?  See, I didn't know that.  The cool thing about last year was I didn't really know any of the past team history, so went went strictly with my numbers formula.  Had I know about the 2 win prior season, I may have panicked.  grin  This year, I did all player projections first, and then I placed those players on the appropriate rosters.  Again, for the same reason as I didn't want to be influenced. 

So now the Tyrants are on board with SMAK, I just need to try and win Russ over(again).  SMAK will prevail! 

Hey Russ, just remember:  Mock SMAK once, shame on you.  Mock SMAK twice, you'll be sorry. Evil laugh


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Philadelphia Pigskins
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 4:12 pm

Will definitely be interesting to see how SMAK and my biased rankings compare this year


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England Dragons
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Wed Feb 08, 2017 4:45 pm

Indiana Mayhem wrote:
England Dragons wrote:
Great read, Bern, well done.

The Mayhem odds are very surprising. All you have to do to make me a SMAK believer is get that one right this year.

Also surprised to see Justice at longer odds than the other 2 dispersal teams when it was generally felt that Justice came out of that the best.

Still, I imagine there will be much movement in the odds post RFA and draft.

cheers

Geez

Nothing personal, Carla. Just surprised SMAK currently ranks the Mayhem as the 4th best team in DD.

Only time will tell!

cheers


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Thu Feb 09, 2017 12:17 am

Philadelphia Pigskins wrote:
Will definitely be interesting to see how SMAK and my biased rankings compare this year

good idea
I'm excited to see another published view of players and see how the two compare.  Especially since I basically go strictly with numbers and formulas and you use more in depth research and analysis.


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Tarpon Springs RedKnights
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:16 am

Nice job Bern. At your current ranking I feel like a strong contender to win the consolation bowl.


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Oaktown Malosos
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:19 am

Same shit...different day/month/year. lol3wink

Do like your use of the Gifs though...
vote yes


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Thu Feb 09, 2017 1:34 am

Oaktown Malosos wrote:
Same shit...different day/month/year.  lol3wink  

Do like your use of the Gifs though...
vote yes

Damn you Tom.  Still not a believer and then I have to scroll up because I can't remember what cool Gifs I used to impress you.  Shit, that's when I realized he's making fun of me there too. lol 2 tough guy


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Nevada NightHawks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:37 am

Kind of quite around SMAK headquarters as we wait for the Super Computer to come out with 2018 player projections.  So I decided to see what SMAK predicted way back in February of 2017 for the World War VI odds.  Remember, this was before RFA and the Rookie Draft.  I still can't get over all the naysayers that were out there.  For example:









Africans wrote:
150 to 1 pfffftt

Call me when you hit .500








Silver Ballers wrote:
I'm happy to see my team in the top! I hope you're right








Muskies wrote:
Ouch! Back to Back Chapter 3 titles and still no love from SMAK.

          2-10?








Brawlers wrote:
Pfft. Looks like a regurgitation of last year's results







Mayhem wrote:
Whoa Wait.......I am starting to like SMAK!








Dragons wrote:
The Mayhem odds are very surprising. All you have to do to make me a SMAK believer is get that one right this year.









Pigskins wrote:
Is this our bar now?











And that's how it's done!



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Minnesota Eternals
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 4:20 am

...and Bern with a mic drop

lol 2


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Titletown Tyrants
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 8:01 am

I remember the days when I was considered good. Seems like a lifetime ago.


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Kane County Goon Squad
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 8:45 am

Nice!

I'm starting to believe


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Indiana Mayhem
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 8:52 am

HAHAH, good recap.


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England Dragons
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 9:36 am

I believe 2 things in relation to this.

1. Carla had a very good RFA.

2. SMAK is hokum.

smile and wave


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Titletown Tyrants
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 9:52 am

Hokum? What kind of English jabber is that? Like pants?


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Southside Spartans
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 10:05 am

According to urban dictionary (where I get all my definitions for new words).  

hokum
(n.) 1. Something apparently impressive or legitimate but actually untrue or insincere; nonsense. 2.
A stock technique for eliciting a desired response from an audience.

(n.) The cum of a ho.


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England Dragons
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 10:19 am

Southside Spartans wrote:
According to urban dictionary (where I get all my definitions for new words).  

hokum
(n.) 1. Something apparently impressive or legitimate but actually untrue or insincere; nonsense. 2.
A stock technique for eliciting a desired response from an audience.

(n.) The cum of a ho.

ROFL


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Las Vegas DeGenerates
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 10:28 am

Definitely used as the second definition.


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Carolina Silverbacks
 
 
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PostSubject: Re: SMAK 2017 World War VI Odds   Sun Jan 14, 2018 12:07 pm

Las Vegas DeGenerates wrote:
Definitely used as the second definition.

agree


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